Ağrı Spor vs Tepecikspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
16º
6º
8
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 5
ASP
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 0
POL
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
ASP
18%
19%
62%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
BER
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 5
ASP
16%
18%
66%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tepecikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 0
EDI
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BUY
2 - 2
TAL
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
BUY
46%
22%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 0
NBF
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
BUY
61%
19%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |