Ağrı Spor vs Sivas Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
11º
7º
17
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OSK
1 - 0
ASP
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
KAR
17%
27%
56%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 3
ASP
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
4 - 0
ASP
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sivas Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
1 - 2
KUS
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 1
4EY
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
0 - 3
ERB
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
1 - 3
ELA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUY
0 - 0
4EY
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |