Ağrı Spor vs Sivas Dort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
11º
7º
17
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OSK
1 - 0
ASP
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 1
KAR
17%
27%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 3
ASP
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
0 - 0
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
4 - 0
ASP
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Sivas Dort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
1 - 2
KUS
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 1
4EY
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
0 - 3
ERB
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
4EY
1 - 3
ELA
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUY
0 - 0
4EY
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |