ASA Arapiraquense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASA
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 0
SDJ
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASA
4 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
SOU
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
0 - 0
SOU
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |