ASA Arapiraquense vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 0
ASA
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
COT
0 - 2
ASA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
COR
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
CEO
3 - 1
ASA
9%
16%
74%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SSS
2 - 1
MIG
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CSA
7 - 0
SSS
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CSE
1 - 2
SSS
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSS
1 - 1
SAN
16%
21%
62%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MIG
0 - 1
SSS
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | 0 |