ASA Arapiraquense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
JAC
3 - 1
ASA
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
ASA
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 3
CEN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
JAC
2 - 0
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
JAC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |