ASA Arapiraquense vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSE
27%
27%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 2
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
5 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |