ASA Arapiraquense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ASA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
ARN
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 2
JEC
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 0
SAO
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
AMF
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |