ASA Arapiraquense vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
CSE
1 - 2
ASA
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 0
DSA
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 2
CON
37%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSE
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CRB
5 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
DSA
1 - 0
SAN
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSA
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CSA
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |