ASA Arapiraquense vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |