ASA Arapiraquense vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 2
ASA
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SSS
0 - 2
SAN
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSE
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |