Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-1
ASA Arapiraquense vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 0
ASA
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASA
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 0
CEO
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COR
4 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASA
18%
24%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |