ASA Arapiraquense vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 1
ASA
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 0
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
ASA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
ARN
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
28%
25%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ARN
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
5 - 1
SAL
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |