ASA Arapiraquense vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 2
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
COR
0 - 0
ASA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
IGA
1 - 2
ASA
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ASA
1 - 0
IGA
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ICA
3 - 0
SAL
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRB
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
SAL
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
SET
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |