Série C Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
ASA Arapiraquense vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ASA
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 1
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ASA
5 - 2
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
AGU
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
LUV
2 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 2
RIO
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
4 - 0
PAY
47%
23%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +2 |