ASA Arapiraquense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ASA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 1
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 0
CRB
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
COT
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
CRA
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAY
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |