Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-1
ASA Arapiraquense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASA
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
CUI
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
ASA
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ASA
3 - 0
ARN
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 0
AVA
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
PPE
0 - 2
PAL
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PAL
4 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |