ASA Arapiraquense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
0 - 1
ASA
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
ASA
71%
20%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
IFC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASA
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
NAU
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
NAU
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
NAU
37%
25%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |