Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-2
ASA Arapiraquense vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
ASA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 3
ASA
21%
26%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
IPA
2 - 2
ASA
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
COM
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 5
CRI
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 1
NAC
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAC
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |