ASA Arapiraquense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
ASA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ASA
2 - 4
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
JAC
3 - 1
ASA
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
ASA
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 3
CEN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
FEC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
FLU
27%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
CAM
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -2 |