ASA Arapiraquense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
CEO
74%
18%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASA
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
ASA
20%
24%
57%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSA
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CEO
0 - 2
MUR
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
CRB
3 - 2
MUR
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
5 - 1
MIG
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |