ASA Arapiraquense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
ASA
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 0
ASA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
SDJ
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 0
ASA
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
LAG
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
JAC
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 2
LAG
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
SDJ
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |