ASA Arapiraquense vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 3
ASA
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 0
ASA
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 0
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 4
JAC
19%
25%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
JAC
51%
25%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JAC
2 - 0
ASA
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |