ASA Arapiraquense vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 2
COR
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
42%
28%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JAC
1 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JEQ
0 - 1
JAC
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JAC
4 - 0
JEC
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
JAC
0 - 1
VIT
7%
15%
78%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | -1 |