Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 3-4
ASA Arapiraquense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 3
ASA
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
ASA
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ASA
2 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SDJ
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ITA
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |