ASA Arapiraquense vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ASA
4 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
40%
26%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 0
CRB
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 2
IFC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 0
IFC
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 0
IFC
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 2
IFC
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |