ASA Arapiraquense vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
AVA
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 2
ASA
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ASA
3 - 0
OES
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 2
ARN
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 4
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
OES
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |