ASA Arapiraquense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
3 - 1
CRI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 0
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
GOI
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ASA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 2
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
PPE
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
GRÊ
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
SPO
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
GOI
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |