Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-3
ASA Arapiraquense vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
GEN
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEN
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARI
2 - 3
GEN
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +2 |