ASA Arapiraquense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.7%
72.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 2
CUI
8%
22%
71%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 1
ASA
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 5
ASA
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 2
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
CSA
9%
21%
71%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 1
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
CSA
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |