ASA Arapiraquense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
71%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 0
JAC
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
ASA
23%
24%
52%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
CRB
0 - 0
ASA
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 5
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 2
CSA
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |