ASA Arapiraquense vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
ASA
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ASA
2 - 1
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ASA
5 - 2
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ICA
0 - 0
ASA
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ICA
2 - 0
CRB
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
1 - 2
ICA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CRB
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |