ASA Arapiraquense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 0
ASA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
ASA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 0
COR
83%
13%
4%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CRB
3 - 1
COR
84%
13%
4%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
COR
2 - 3
CRB
6%
18%
76%
|
36 | 71 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | +1 |