ASA Arapiraquense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRB
3 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 3
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 0
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
SSS
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |