ASA Arapiraquense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
ASA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 3
CUI
39%
30%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 1
MOT
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASA
46%
28%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 1
FOR
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
FOR
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
CON
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CSA
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
REM
2 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |