ASA Arapiraquense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
ASA
2 - 1
GEN
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ASA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
CON
80%
15%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |