ASA Arapiraquense vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
3 - 0
IGA
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 3
ASA
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ASA
0 - 0
CRB
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CSE
0 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
0 - 0
MUR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IGA
0 - 3
CSE
13%
18%
70%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 5
CRB
7%
18%
75%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |