ASA Arapiraquense vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 3
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ASA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
4 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
0 - 2
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CSE
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CSE
1 - 1
ATA
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CSA
3 - 1
CSE
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
CSE
3 - 2
CEO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |