ASA Arapiraquense vs Olhodagüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 1
ASA
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
ASA
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CEO
0 - 2
CSA
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
CEO
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
DSA
0 - 1
CEO
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CEO
2 - 0
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEO
4 - 1
MUR
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |