ASA Arapiraquense vs Olhodagüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
ASA
31%
25%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IPA
0 - 3
ASA
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
0 - 0
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 1
CSA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
CEO
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CSE
1 - 0
CEO
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CEO
1 - 0
CRB
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
2 - 0
CEO
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |