ASA Arapiraquense vs Olhodagüense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 2
ASA
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
CSE
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 3
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ASA
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Olhodagüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CEO
2 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
4 - 0
CEO
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEO
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 1
CEO
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CEO
1 - 1
CRB
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |