ASA Arapiraquense vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ASA
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ASA
3 - 2
COR
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
ASA
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JAC
1 - 1
CEN
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
NAU
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
SPO
7%
16%
77%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | +1 |