Copa do Nordeste Final
Global 1-4
ASA Arapiraquense vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
ASA
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 1
ASA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
3 - 3
CEA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 2
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 0
ABC
44%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
FOR
31%
26%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
CAM
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
FEI
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |