ASA Arapiraquense vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
ASA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ASA
3 - 0
ICA
42%
25%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
FFL
6 - 0
ASA
78%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
COT
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
AMF
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
FFL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
BRA
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |