ASA Arapiraquense vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CUI
1 - 1
ASA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
ASA
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ASA
1 - 1
SAL
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
ASA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 1
SAM
59%
24%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 2
REM
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MOT
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAL
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSA
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |