ASA Arapiraquense vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 3
ASA
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 3
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ASA
0 - 2
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
ASA
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 0
ASA
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
ITA
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
RFC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
SDJ
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
BAH
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |