ASA Arapiraquense vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
JEC
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
ASA
3 - 0
IFC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ASA
4 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARN
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
2 - 2
ARN
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 0
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
CRB
4 - 2
ARN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |