ASA Arapiraquense vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 2
CRB
11%
21%
69%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
ASA
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
ASA
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 2
ALA
37%
26%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
JAC
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
5 - 1
ALA
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -1 |