ASA Arapiraquense vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
3 - 1
ASA
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
ASA
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |