ASA Arapiraquense vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
ASA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
RFC
14%
22%
64%
|
25 | 59 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASA
17%
24%
59%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FFC
4 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |