AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
FCD
4 - 3
APE
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
HFC
2 - 1
APE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
APE
0 - 1
ZWO
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
MVV
2 - 3
APE
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BOS
3 - 1
APE
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 1
BOS
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 0
HFC
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
FCO
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
FOR
0 - 0
RBC
24%
24%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
EIN
1 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |